Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.467666 0.536316 0.610862 0.697735 0.796102 0.903935 1.031013
2025-02-16 0.339173 0.426464 0.529510 0.659768 0.819655 1.009107 1.250198
2025-02-23 0.256749 0.351676 0.472724 0.637560 0.855230 1.131776 1.508562
2025-03-02 0.199943 0.296706 0.429275 0.622622 0.895562 1.264911 1.799942
2025-03-09 0.162911 0.260414 0.403144 0.624808 0.957259 1.433425 2.162019
2025-03-16 0.131551 0.225635 0.372230 0.613673 0.996719 1.574796 2.504770
2025-03-23 0.112041 0.205076 0.358581 0.625313 1.070544 1.774777 2.959550
2025-03-30 0.092897 0.181056 0.334751 0.615825 1.108174 1.922181 3.350306
2025-04-06 0.080393 0.166106 0.323343 0.624738 1.176454 2.126029 3.856368
2025-04-13 0.066818 0.146284 0.299573 0.607274 1.195252 2.247465 4.236299
2025-04-20 0.060007 0.138416 0.296649 0.627640 1.284719 2.501806 4.877565
2025-04-27 0.054691 0.132558 0.296538 0.653092 1.386616 2.789544 5.611024
2025-05-04 0.047958 0.122380 0.286174 0.656812 1.447692 3.010591 6.250601
2025-05-11 0.041801 0.112237 0.274137 0.655081 1.497423 3.215650 6.883634
2025-05-18 0.036689 0.103513 0.263715 0.655140 1.550760 3.433899 7.567760
2025-05-25 0.032251 0.095520 0.253554 0.654078 1.601311 3.651943 8.275696
2025-06-01 0.029118 0.090293 0.249121 0.665713 1.681813 3.942028 9.166452
2025-06-08 0.025542 0.083019 0.238252 0.659860 1.720786 4.146108 9.893723
2025-06-15 0.023413 0.079452 0.236359 0.676246 1.814901 4.482937 10.949237
2025-06-22 0.020588 0.073117 0.225865 0.668530 1.848609 4.685403 11.722213
2025-06-29 0.018794 0.069613 0.222632 0.679786 1.931722 5.012263 12.816592
2025-07-06 0.016288 0.063146 0.209650 0.661900 1.936619 5.152277 13.483914
2025-07-13 0.015263 0.061517 0.210824 0.684656 2.053021 5.577810 14.883745